Asan Mugunghwa 0-1 Busan I Park — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.19
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.68
6+ Goals
9%
15.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 31% vs market 25.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.6pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +24%
0.96/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.48
+5% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
265 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 75%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
20.7 Crosses 19.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Busan I Park
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.96 xG 2.09
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
222 Passes 322
63% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.06.2024 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 0-0 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
11.05.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-3 HT 0-1 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
21.10.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-2 HT 1-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
28.05.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-0 HT 1-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
09.04.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-1 HT 1-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
09.10.2022 Busan I Park Busan I Park 4-0 HT 1-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
0-1
AWAY Busan I Park
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
443 Passes 311
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Asan Mugunghwa vs Busan I Park
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan I Park edged past Asan Mugunghwa 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 36%) promised a tight game; Busan I Park found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Asan Mugunghwa had 57% of the ball to Busan I Park's 43%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Busan I Park led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Asan Mugunghwa and 1.83 for Busan I Park.

What was the final score of Asan Mugunghwa vs Busan I Park?

Asan Mugunghwa 0-1 Busan I Park in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asan Mugunghwa vs Busan I Park?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asan Mugunghwa win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Asan Mugunghwa 39%, draw 24%, Busan I Park 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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