Suwon Bluewings 5-1 Jeonnam Dragons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 10 Apr 2024

📅10/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.6
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.53
6+ Goals
9%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-5.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.0pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suwon Bluewings EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons EU Bookmakers 29%
-57% / -57% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.44
-100% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
369 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
Crosses 18.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suwon Bluewings
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
421 Passes 275
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.09.2017 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 3-0 HT 3-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR
19.07.2017 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 4-1 HT 1-1 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR
14.05.2017 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 1-3 HT 1-1 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOR
20.08.2016 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 1-1 HT 1-1 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOK
23.09.2015 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 0-2 HT 0-1 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOK
08.07.2015 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 1-0 HT 0-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suwon Bluewings
5-1
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Suwon Bluewings vs Jeonnam Dragons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suwon Bluewings swept aside Jeonnam Dragons 5-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Suwon Bluewings as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Suwon Bluewings had 45% of the ball to Jeonnam Dragons's 55%, shots finished 17-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Suwon Bluewings had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Suwon Bluewings and 0.50 for Jeonnam Dragons.

What was the final score of Suwon Bluewings vs Jeonnam Dragons?

Suwon Bluewings 5-1 Jeonnam Dragons in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 10/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suwon Bluewings vs Jeonnam Dragons?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suwon Bluewings win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Suwon Bluewings 41%, draw 27%, Jeonnam Dragons 32%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) ✗ Under 2.5
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