Ansan Greeners 1-0 Asan Mugunghwa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 10 Apr 2024

📅10/04/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
43%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.66
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.41
6+ Goals
8%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+4.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
43%
Away Win
46%
-3.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.9pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ansan Greeners EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 50%
-8% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.18/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.10
-22% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +1%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
263 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 80%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
14.3 Crosses 20.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ansan Greeners
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.67 xG 1.69
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
338 Passes 234
76% Pass Accuracy 68%
14 Box Touches 21
9 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2023 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 0-1 HT 0-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
25.06.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-0 HT 1-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
04.03.2023 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 1-0 HT 1-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
22.08.2022 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 2-2 HT 0-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
25.06.2022 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 3-1 HT 0-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
18.05.2022 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 0-1 HT 0-1 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ansan Greeners
1-0
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ansan Greeners vs Asan Mugunghwa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ansan Greeners squeezed past Asan Mugunghwa 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Asan Mugunghwa at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ansan Greeners had 56% of the ball to Asan Mugunghwa's 44%, shots finished 6-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Asan Mugunghwa led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ansan Greeners and 1.33 for Asan Mugunghwa.

What was the final score of Ansan Greeners vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Ansan Greeners 1-0 Asan Mugunghwa in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 10/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ansan Greeners vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Asan Mugunghwa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ansan Greeners 30%, draw 27%, Asan Mugunghwa 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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