V-Varen Nagasaki 2-1 Consadole Sapporo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
58%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.33
Over
54%
1.58
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.57
No
45%
2.24
Total Goals
0-1
23%
4.51
2-3
43%
1.88
4-5
21%
2.7
6+
13%
7.21
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.51 — our 23% vs market 16.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
11%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Consadole Sapporo The Market 24%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
2.16 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.69
0.96 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 2.27
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Bad
Average Defensevs comparable teams Bad
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
416 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.6 Crosses 21.1
0.8 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Consadole Sapporo
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
312 Passes 438
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
29.04.2025 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 2-2 HT 0-1 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
07.07.2021 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 1-2 HT 0-2 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JPK
24.04.2019 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 3-6 HT 1-3 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JLK
13.03.2019 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 0-0 HT 0-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JLK
01.08.2018 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 2-3 HT 0-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
18.03.2018 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 2-1 HT 0-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki
2-1
AWAY Consadole Sapporo
59% Ball Possession 41%
23 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 0
461 Passes 286
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW V-Varen Nagasaki vs Consadole Sapporo
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

V-Varen Nagasaki came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Consadole Sapporo 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had V-Varen Nagasaki as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — both teams to score (55%) came home.

Under the surface, possession split 59% to 41% in V-Varen Nagasaki's favour, shots finished 23-4.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Consadole Sapporo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for V-Varen Nagasaki against 2.33 for Consadole Sapporo.

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Consadole Sapporo Result & Final Score

V-Varen Nagasaki 2-1 Consadole Sapporo in the Japan - J2 League on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Consadole Sapporo Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a V-Varen Nagasaki win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split V-Varen Nagasaki 58%, draw 22%, Consadole Sapporo 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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