Consadole Sapporo 2-2 V-Varen Nagasaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 29 Apr 2025

📅29/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.72
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.05
6+ Goals
11%
10.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.72 — our 25% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-3.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.7pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Consadole Sapporo EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki EU Bookmakers 45%
+15% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
1.11/0.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.24
-8% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses 17.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Consadole Sapporo
3W-2D-1L
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
407 Passes 329
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
07.07.2021 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 1-2 HT 0-2 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JPK
24.04.2019 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 3-6 HT 1-3 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JLK
13.03.2019 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 0-0 HT 0-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JLK
01.08.2018 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 2-3 HT 0-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
18.03.2018 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 2-1 HT 0-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP
08.08.2015 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 0-0 HT 0-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Consadole Sapporo
2-2
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
501 Passes 279
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Crosses 14
POST-MATCH Consadole Sapporo vs V-Varen Nagasaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Consadole Sapporo and V-Varen Nagasaki couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Consadole Sapporo had 63% of the ball to V-Varen Nagasaki's 37%, shots finished 16-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Consadole Sapporo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Consadole Sapporo and 1.33 for V-Varen Nagasaki.

What was the final score of Consadole Sapporo vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Consadole Sapporo 2-2 V-Varen Nagasaki in the Japan - J2 League on 29/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Consadole Sapporo vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Consadole Sapporo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Consadole Sapporo 38%, draw 24%, V-Varen Nagasaki 37%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Consadole Sapporo) ✗ Under 2.5
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