Oita Trinita 1-0 Sagan Tosu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 29 Apr 2025

📅29/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.09
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
5.53
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.0pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.9pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.9pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oita Trinita EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sagan Tosu EU Bookmakers 33%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.17/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.01
-11% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -40%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
421 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
9.9 Crosses 17.0
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oita Trinita
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Sagan Tosu
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.18 xG 1.40
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
458 Passes 398
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
18.09.2021 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 0-0 HT 0-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP
15.05.2021 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 1-1 HT 0-1 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu JAP
19.12.2020 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 2-2 HT 0-1 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP
04.07.2020 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 2-0 HT 0-0 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu JAP
04.08.2019 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 2-2 HT 0-0 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita JAP
04.05.2019 Oita Trinita Oita Trinita 2-0 HT 0-0 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oita Trinita
1-0
AWAY Sagan Tosu
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 7
232 Passes 434
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Crosses 20
POST-MATCH Oita Trinita vs Sagan Tosu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oita Trinita edged past Sagan Tosu 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 30% — and on the day Oita Trinita made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Oita Trinita had 38% of the ball to Sagan Tosu's 62%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oita Trinita had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Oita Trinita and 0.83 for Sagan Tosu.

What was the final score of Oita Trinita vs Sagan Tosu?

Oita Trinita 1-0 Sagan Tosu in the Japan - J2 League on 29/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oita Trinita vs Sagan Tosu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oita Trinita win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Oita Trinita 40%, draw 29%, Sagan Tosu 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oita Trinita), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Oita Trinita) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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