Okzhetpes 3-0 Zhetysu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.66
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
56%
+2.3pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.5pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.5pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Okzhetpes EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhetysu EU Bookmakers 23%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +22%
1.03/0.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.13
-37% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +27%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
323 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Okzhetpes
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Zhetysu
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
11.05.2025 Zhetysu Zhetysu 1-3 HT 1-1 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes KAZP
12.08.2023 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 2-1 HT 1-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
07.05.2023 Zhetysu Zhetysu 1-0 HT 0-0 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes KAZP
08.11.2020 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 0-1 HT 0-1 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
11.09.2020 Zhetysu Zhetysu 1-0 HT 1-0 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes KAZP
03.11.2019 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 1-1 HT 0-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
POST-MATCH Okzhetpes vs Zhetysu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Okzhetpes swept aside Zhetysu 3-0. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Okzhetpes as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zhetysu led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Okzhetpes and 1.00 for Zhetysu.

What was the final score of Okzhetpes vs Zhetysu?

Okzhetpes 3-0 Zhetysu in the Kazakistan - Super League on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Okzhetpes vs Zhetysu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Okzhetpes win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Okzhetpes 58%, draw 21%, Zhetysu 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Okzhetpes), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Okzhetpes) ✓ BTTS No
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