Zhetysu 1-3 Okzhetpes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
11%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-1.1pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.1pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-0.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.9pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zhetysu EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Okzhetpes EU Bookmakers 46%
-19% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +43% / +43%
0.76/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/2.00
-25% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +127% / -59%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zhetysu
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Okzhetpes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
12.08.2023 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 2-1 HT 1-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
07.05.2023 Zhetysu Zhetysu 1-0 HT 0-0 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes KAZP
08.11.2020 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 0-1 HT 0-1 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
11.09.2020 Zhetysu Zhetysu 1-0 HT 1-0 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes KAZP
03.11.2019 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 1-1 HT 0-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
25.10.2015 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 1-1 HT 1-1 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
POST-MATCH Zhetysu vs Okzhetpes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Okzhetpes beat Zhetysu 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Okzhetpes as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zhetysu had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zhetysu and 0.67 for Okzhetpes.

What was the final score of Zhetysu vs Okzhetpes?

Zhetysu 1-3 Okzhetpes in the Kazakistan - Super League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zhetysu vs Okzhetpes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Okzhetpes win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Zhetysu 28%, draw 31%, Okzhetpes 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Okzhetpes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Okzhetpes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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