Ordabasy Shymkent 5-0 Kaisar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
26%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.19
No
50%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-12.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
26%
Away Win
15%
+10.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.5pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaisar EU Bookmakers 18%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
1.59/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.70
-13% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
373 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Kaisar
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
31.08.2024 Kaisar Kaisar 2-1 HT 0-1 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
29.06.2024 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 2-1 HT 0-1 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
13.08.2023 Kaisar Kaisar 2-3 HT 0-2 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
06.05.2023 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 4-0 HT 1-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
31.08.2022 Kaisar Kaisar 1-1 HT 0-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZKK
03.07.2021 Kaisar Kaisar 1-0 HT 1-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
POST-MATCH Ordabasy Shymkent vs Kaisar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ordabasy Shymkent swept aside Kaisar 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ordabasy Shymkent as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ordabasy Shymkent had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Ordabasy Shymkent and 1.17 for Kaisar.

What was the final score of Ordabasy Shymkent vs Kaisar?

Ordabasy Shymkent 5-0 Kaisar in the Kazakistan - Super League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ordabasy Shymkent vs Kaisar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ordabasy Shymkent win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ordabasy Shymkent 49%, draw 26%, Kaisar 26%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAZP More Kazakistan - Super League
11 May 2025
13:00 Zhetysu vs Okzhetpes Analysis →
17:00 Aktobe vs Yelimay Semey Analysis →