Aktobe 1-0 Yelimay Semey — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.3pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-2.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aktobe EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Yelimay Semey EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.49/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.43
+14% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
318 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aktobe
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Yelimay Semey
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
31.08.2024 Aktobe Aktobe 1-3 HT 1-1 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey KAZP
19.06.2024 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey 2-1 HT 0-1 Aktobe Aktobe KAZKK
16.06.2024 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey 2-2 HT 1-1 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
29.05.2024 Aktobe Aktobe 2-0 HT 2-0 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey KAZKK
POST-MATCH Aktobe vs Yelimay Semey
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aktobe nicked a narrow win over Yelimay Semey 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aktobe as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Yelimay Semey led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aktobe and 1.75 for Yelimay Semey.

What was the final score of Aktobe vs Yelimay Semey?

Aktobe 1-0 Yelimay Semey in the Kazakistan - Super League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aktobe vs Yelimay Semey?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aktobe win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Aktobe 41%, draw 29%, Yelimay Semey 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aktobe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aktobe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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