Yelimay Semey 2-1 Aktobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Cup, 19 Jun 2024

📅19/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.1pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.8pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yelimay Semey EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Aktobe EU Bookmakers 40%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.26/0.73
-2% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -79% / +54%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
252 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yelimay Semey
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Aktobe
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
16.06.2024 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey 2-2 HT 1-1 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
29.05.2024 Aktobe Aktobe 2-0 HT 2-0 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey KAZKK
POST-MATCH Yelimay Semey vs Aktobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yelimay Semey nicked a narrow win over Aktobe 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 33% / 32%) promised a tight game; Yelimay Semey found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Aktobe led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Yelimay Semey and 2.00 for Aktobe.

What was the final score of Yelimay Semey vs Aktobe?

Yelimay Semey 2-1 Aktobe in the Kazakistan - Cup on 19/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yelimay Semey vs Aktobe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yelimay Semey win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Yelimay Semey 35%, draw 33%, Aktobe 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yelimay Semey) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yelimay Semey) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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