Aktobe 1-3 Yelimay Semey — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.91
Over 2.5
56%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.68
No
39%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.1pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.4pp
61%
BTTS Yes
56%
+5.4pp
39%
BTTS No
44%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aktobe EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Yelimay Semey EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
1.62/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/4.00
+22% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -68%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aktobe
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Yelimay Semey
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
19.06.2024 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey 2-1 HT 0-1 Aktobe Aktobe KAZKK
16.06.2024 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey 2-2 HT 1-1 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
29.05.2024 Aktobe Aktobe 2-0 HT 2-0 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey KAZKK
POST-MATCH Aktobe vs Yelimay Semey
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yelimay Semey beat Aktobe 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Aktobe at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Aktobe and 1.33 for Yelimay Semey.

What was the final score of Aktobe vs Yelimay Semey?

Aktobe 1-3 Yelimay Semey in the Kazakistan - Super League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aktobe vs Yelimay Semey?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aktobe win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Aktobe 43%, draw 25%, Yelimay Semey 32%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aktobe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aktobe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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