Tobol 1-1 Atyrau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 31 Aug 2024

Tobol
1-1 HT 0-1
Atyrau
📅31/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Kazakistan - Super League – 2024

Tobol vs Atyrau Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.3pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tobol v Atyrau — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tobol EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Atyrau EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -15%
1.37/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.49
-10% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.4

Tobol vs Atyrau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tobol
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Atyrau
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
The Meetings
23.06.2024 Atyrau Atyrau 0-0 HT 0-0 Tobol Tobol KAZP
19.06.2024 Atyrau Atyrau 4-0 HT 2-0 Tobol Tobol KAZKK
29.05.2024 Tobol Tobol 1-0 HT 1-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZKK
08.07.2023 Atyrau Atyrau 0-1 HT 0-0 Tobol Tobol KAZKK
02.07.2023 Tobol Tobol 1-0 HT 0-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
28.06.2023 Tobol Tobol 1-0 HT 0-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZKK
POST-MATCH Tobol vs Atyrau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tobol and Atyrau couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Tobol at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tobol had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tobol and 0.67 for Atyrau.

What was the final score of Tobol vs Atyrau?

Tobol 1-1 Atyrau in the Kazakistan - Super League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tobol vs Atyrau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tobol win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Tobol 47%, draw 29%, Atyrau 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tobol), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tobol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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31 Aug 2024
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