Smouha vs El Geish Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Smouha v El Geish — Team-Based Signals
Smouha vs El Geish Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
El Geish
MSR
2-0
HT 2-0
Smouha
MSR
2-1
HT 1-0
El Geish
MSR
Smouha 1-1 El Geish — Actual Match Statistics
Smouha and El Geish shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Smouha at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (72%) landed while no to both teams scoring (68%) missed.
On the day, Smouha had 48% of the ball to El Geish's 52%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 1.85 to 0.17.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Smouha had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Smouha and 0.83 for El Geish.
What was the final score of Smouha vs El Geish?
Smouha 1-1 El Geish in the Egypt - Premier League on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Smouha vs El Geish?
Before kick-off our model rated a Smouha win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Smouha 42%, draw 34%, El Geish 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Smouha), BTTS No went the other way.