El Geish 2-2 Smouha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
34%
2.88
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.48
Over 2.5
30%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.13
No
65%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
42%
2.17
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
12%
5.8
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.17 — our 42% vs market 39.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
+0.2pp
34%
Draw
31%
+2.4pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.6pp
70%
Under 2.5
64%
+6.3pp
30%
Over 2.5
36%
-6.3pp
35%
BTTS Yes
43%
-7.9pp
65%
BTTS No
57%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Geish EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Smouha EU Bookmakers 43%
+13% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -13%
0.98/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.99
+6% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
243 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 73%
15.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
15.7 Crosses 14.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Geish
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Smouha
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.28 xG 1.37
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
267 Passes 235
71% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.12.2023 Smouha Smouha 1-0 HT 1-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
03.06.2023 El Geish El Geish 2-0 HT 2-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
11.01.2023 Smouha Smouha 2-1 HT 1-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
17.06.2022 El Geish El Geish 3-3 HT 1-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
25.12.2021 Smouha Smouha 1-0 HT 1-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
13.08.2021 Smouha Smouha 4-2 HT 1-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Geish
2-2
AWAY Smouha
0.19 xG 3.16
26% Ball Possession 74%
7 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
114 Passes 435
62% Pass Accuracy 86%
5 Box Touches 29
9 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH El Geish vs Smouha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Geish and Smouha shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (30% / 34% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, El Geish had 26% of the ball to Smouha's 74%, shots finished 7-21, expected goals 0.19 to 3.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Smouha led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for El Geish and 1.83 for Smouha.

What was the final score of El Geish vs Smouha?

El Geish 2-2 Smouha in the Egypt - Premier League on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Geish vs Smouha?

Before kick-off our model rated an Smouha win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split El Geish 30%, draw 34%, Smouha 36%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Smouha) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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