ENPPI 1-0 El Gounah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
37%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.54
Over 2.5
46%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.27
No
55%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.34
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.18
6+ Goals
6%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
54%
-16.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
36%
Away Win
18%
+18.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
61%
-7.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
39%
+7.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.5pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ENPPI EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY El Gounah EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +0%
1.05/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.22
-19% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
15.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
18.5 Crosses 15.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ENPPI
2W-3D-1L
AWAY El Gounah
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.07 xG 0.74
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
206 Passes 276
66% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.12.2023 El Gounah El Gounah 1-2 HT 0-1 ENPPI ENPPI MSR
13.07.2022 ENPPI ENPPI 2-2 HT 2-1 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
20.12.2021 El Gounah El Gounah 1-1 HT 0-1 ENPPI ENPPI MSR
28.08.2021 ENPPI ENPPI 2-0 HT 1-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
16.04.2021 El Gounah El Gounah 1-0 HT 0-0 ENPPI ENPPI MSR
02.09.2020 ENPPI ENPPI 0-0 HT 0-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ENPPI
1-0
AWAY El Gounah
1.83 xG 0.46
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 3
261 Passes 178
76% Pass Accuracy 67%
34 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH ENPPI vs El Gounah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ENPPI nicked a narrow win over El Gounah 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; ENPPI found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, ENPPI had 57% of the ball to El Gounah's 43%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 1.83 to 0.46 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold ENPPI's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ENPPI had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for ENPPI and 0.83 for El Gounah.

What was the final score of ENPPI vs El Gounah?

ENPPI 1-0 El Gounah in the Egypt - Premier League on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ENPPI vs El Gounah?

Before kick-off our model rated a ENPPI win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split ENPPI 37%, draw 26%, El Gounah 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ENPPI), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ENPPI) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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