Aucas vs Leones del Norte — Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds

Aucas
3-0 HT 2-0
Leones del Norte
📅09/08/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2026
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.62
Over 2.5
49%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.06
No
47%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-1.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
58%
-7.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
42%
+7.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
44%
+8.4pp
47%
BTTS No
56%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aucas EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Leones del Norte EU Bookmakers 24%
-7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.49/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/1.21
-7% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +89%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
344 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 77%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.3
21.9 Crosses 12.0
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.3
Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aucas
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Leones del Norte
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
18.04.2026 Leones del Norte Leones del Norte 0-1 HT 0-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
12.06.2022 Leones del Norte Leones del Norte 1-4 HT 0-1 Aucas Aucas EKVK
Actual Match Statistics
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aucas
3-0
AWAY Leones del Norte
2.06 xG 0.58
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
400 Passes 381
18 Box Touches 18
9 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Aucas vs Leones del Norte
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Aucas ran out comfortable winners over Leones del Norte 3-0 in the Ecuador - Premier on 9 Aug 2026. Half-time: 2-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 2.06 to 0.58.

Across their last 2 meetings in our records, Aucas have the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Aucas and 0.50 for Leones del Norte.

What was the final score of Aucas vs Leones del Norte?

Aucas 3-0 Leones del Norte in the Ecuador - Premier on 09/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aucas vs Leones del Norte?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aucas win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Aucas 50%, draw 26%, Leones del Norte 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aucas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aucas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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EKV1 More Ecuador - Premier
9 Aug 2026
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