Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
5-3
HT 2-2
Macara
EKV1
Macara edged past Barcelona SC 2-1 away from home in the Ecuador - Premier on 9 Aug 2026. Half-time: 0-2.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 0.97 to 1.24.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona SC have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Barcelona SC and 1.67 for Macara.
What was the final score of Barcelona SC vs Macara?
Barcelona SC 1-2 Macara in the Ecuador - Premier on 09/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Barcelona SC vs Macara?
Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona SC win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Barcelona SC 58%, draw 23%, Macara 19%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.