Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Charlotte Ind. edged past Greenville Triumph 1-0 in the USA - USL League 1 on 9 Aug 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, shots finished 23-10, expected goals 2.20 to 1.04.
What was the final score of Charlotte Ind. vs Greenville Triumph?
Charlotte Ind. 1-0 Greenville Triumph in the USA - USL League 1 on 09/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Charlotte Ind. vs Greenville Triumph?
Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte Ind. win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Charlotte Ind. 52%, draw 22%, Greenville Triumph 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlotte Ind.) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.