Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
One Knoxville edged past Sarasota Paradise 2-1 in the USA - USL League 1 on 9 Aug 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, shots finished 14-20, expected goals 1.97 to 2.41.
What was the final score of One Knoxville vs Sarasota Paradise?
One Knoxville 2-1 Sarasota Paradise in the USA - USL League 1 on 09/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for One Knoxville vs Sarasota Paradise?
Before kick-off our model rated a One Knoxville win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split One Knoxville 54%, draw 24%, Sarasota Paradise 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (One Knoxville), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.