Sarasota Paradise vs One Knoxville Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sarasota Paradise v One Knoxville — Team-Based Signals
Sarasota Paradise 1-2 One Knoxville — Actual Match Statistics
One Knoxville edged past Sarasota Paradise 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Sarasota Paradise at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sarasota Paradise had 43% of the ball to One Knoxville's 57%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.90 to 1.25 — the balance of chances actually favoured Sarasota Paradise.
What was the final score of Sarasota Paradise vs One Knoxville?
Sarasota Paradise 1-2 One Knoxville in the USA - USL League 1 on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sarasota Paradise vs One Knoxville?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sarasota Paradise win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sarasota Paradise 43%, draw 24%, One Knoxville 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.