Naples vs Greenville Triumph Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Naples v Greenville Triumph — Team-Based Signals
Naples vs Greenville Triumph Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Naples 1-0 Greenville Triumph — Actual Match Statistics
Naples nicked a narrow win over Greenville Triumph 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Naples as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Naples had 46% of the ball to Greenville Triumph's 54%, shots finished 7-5, expected goals 0.96 to 0.41.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Naples and 1.33 for Greenville Triumph.
What was the final score of Naples vs Greenville Triumph?
Naples 1-0 Greenville Triumph in the USA - USL League 1 on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Naples vs Greenville Triumph?
Before kick-off our model rated a Naples win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Naples 45%, draw 26%, Greenville Triumph 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naples), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.