Greenville Triumph 2-1 Naples — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USLKP, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.33
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
15%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
71%
-9.2pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.2pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+4.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.4pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greenville Triumph EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Naples EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
377 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greenville Triumph
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Naples
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.15 xG 0.70
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
365 Passes 221
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
37 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.06.2025 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 1-1 HT 1-1 Naples USL1
POST-MATCH Greenville Triumph vs Naples
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greenville Triumph edged past Naples 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Greenville Triumph as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Greenville Triumph vs Naples?

Greenville Triumph 2-1 Naples in the USLKP on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greenville Triumph vs Naples?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greenville Triumph win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Greenville Triumph 62%, draw 23%, Naples 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Greenville Triumph), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Greenville Triumph) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USLKP More USLKP
27 Jul 2025
00:00 Lexington vs Louisville City Analysis →
00:00 Charlotte Independence vs Richmond Kickers Analysis →
02:00 Chattanooga Red Wolves vs One Knoxville Analysis →
02:00 Indy Eleven vs FC Tulsa Analysis →
02:00 Rhode Island vs Hartford Athletic Analysis →
02:00 Detroit City vs Westchester SC Analysis →