Greenville Triumph 1-1 Naples — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 8 Jun 2025

📅08/06/2025 · 🕒04:03 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.1pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.0pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.6pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greenville Triumph EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Naples EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.41/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/0.94
-25% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +47%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.1
18.5 Crosses 13.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Greenville Triumph
1-1
AWAY Naples
1.15 xG 0.70
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
365 Passes 221
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
37 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Greenville Triumph vs Naples
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greenville Triumph and Naples couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 33% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Greenville Triumph had 59% of the ball to Naples's 41%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 1.15 to 0.70.

What was the final score of Greenville Triumph vs Naples?

Greenville Triumph 1-1 Naples in the USA - USL League 1 on 08/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greenville Triumph vs Naples?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greenville Triumph win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Greenville Triumph 37%, draw 33%, Naples 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Greenville Triumph), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Greenville Triumph) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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