Forward Madison 0-1 Union Omaha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 8 Jun 2025

📅08/06/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
35%
+4.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.2pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forward Madison EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 39%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.17/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.98
-22% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
17.6 Crosses 21.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forward Madison
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Union Omaha
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.12 xG 1.32
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
298 Passes 341
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.05.2025 Forward Madison Forward Madison 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
04.08.2024 Union Omaha Union Omaha 2-2 HT 0-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
21.06.2024 Forward Madison Forward Madison 2-0 HT 1-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
15.10.2023 Forward Madison Forward Madison 0-1 HT 0-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
28.05.2023 Union Omaha Union Omaha 1-2 HT 1-1 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
26.03.2023 Union Omaha Union Omaha 1-1 HT 1-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forward Madison
0-1
AWAY Union Omaha
1.55 xG 2.13
66% Ball Possession 34%
13 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
440 Passes 190
85% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Forward Madison vs Union Omaha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Omaha nicked a narrow win over Forward Madison 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Union Omaha made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Forward Madison had 66% of the ball to Union Omaha's 34%, shots finished 13-18, expected goals 1.55 to 2.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forward Madison had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Forward Madison and 0.83 for Union Omaha.

What was the final score of Forward Madison vs Union Omaha?

Forward Madison 0-1 Union Omaha in the USA - USL League 1 on 08/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forward Madison vs Union Omaha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forward Madison win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Forward Madison 40%, draw 27%, Union Omaha 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Forward Madison) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Forward Madison) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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