Union Omaha 2-2 Forward Madison — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 4 Aug 2024

Union Omaha
2-2 HT 0-0
Forward Madison
📅04/08/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
USA - USL League 1 – 2024

Union Omaha vs Forward Madison Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
14%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.8pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.5pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Union Omaha v Forward Madison — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Forward Madison EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -4%
1.24/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.40
+8% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
20.3 Crosses 13.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7

Union Omaha vs Forward Madison Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Omaha
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Forward Madison
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.37 xG 1.01
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
320 Passes 334
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.06.2024 Forward Madison Forward Madison 2-0 HT 1-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
15.10.2023 Forward Madison Forward Madison 0-1 HT 0-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
28.05.2023 Union Omaha Union Omaha 1-2 HT 1-1 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
26.03.2023 Union Omaha Union Omaha 1-1 HT 1-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
01.09.2022 Union Omaha Union Omaha 1-0 HT 0-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
27.07.2022 Forward Madison Forward Madison 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1

Union Omaha 2-2 Forward Madison — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Omaha
2-2
AWAY Forward Madison
0.95 xG 0.96
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
295 Passes 279
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 19
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Union Omaha vs Forward Madison
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Omaha and Forward Madison couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Union Omaha at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Union Omaha had 51% of the ball to Forward Madison's 49%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.95 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Union Omaha and 0.83 for Forward Madison.

What was the final score of Union Omaha vs Forward Madison?

Union Omaha 2-2 Forward Madison in the USA - USL League 1 on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Omaha vs Forward Madison?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Union Omaha 41%, draw 29%, Forward Madison 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Union Omaha) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Omaha) ✓ BTTS Yes
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