Tormenta 3-3 Spokane Velocity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-8.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+7.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.1pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tormenta EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Spokane Velocity EU Bookmakers 28%
-23% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.39/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.84
-34% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
341 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.2
19.2 Crosses 26.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tormenta
3-3
AWAY Spokane Velocity
2.46 xG 2.95
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 23
8 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 6
330 Passes 527
85% Pass Accuracy 90%
14 Box Touches 37
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tormenta vs Spokane Velocity
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tormenta and Spokane Velocity shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Tormenta at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Tormenta had 40% of the ball to Spokane Velocity's 60%, shots finished 14-23, expected goals 2.46 to 2.95.

What was the final score of Tormenta vs Spokane Velocity?

Tormenta 3-3 Spokane Velocity in the USA - USL League 1 on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tormenta vs Spokane Velocity?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tormenta win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Tormenta 44%, draw 25%, Spokane Velocity 32%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tormenta)
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