Northern Colorado 3-1 Richmond Kickers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
14%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-5.7pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.0pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Northern Colorado EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Richmond Kickers EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
1.79/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.57
+22% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
346 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 79%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
21.2 Crosses 15.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Northern Colorado
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Richmond Kickers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.99 xG 0.92
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
316 Passes 333
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.06.2024 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 0-2 HT 0-1 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado USL1
23.07.2023 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado 3-1 HT 0-1 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
08.06.2023 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado 2-0 HT 1-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
16.04.2023 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 0-0 HT 0-0 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado USL1
03.08.2022 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado 0-1 HT 0-1 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
19.06.2022 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 3-2 HT 2-0 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Northern Colorado
3-1
AWAY Richmond Kickers
2.57 xG 0.77
41% Ball Possession 59%
20 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
275 Passes 422
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
32 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Northern Colorado vs Richmond Kickers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Northern Colorado beat Richmond Kickers 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Northern Colorado as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Northern Colorado had 41% of the ball to Richmond Kickers's 59%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 2.57 to 0.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Northern Colorado had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Northern Colorado and 0.83 for Richmond Kickers.

What was the final score of Northern Colorado vs Richmond Kickers?

Northern Colorado 3-1 Richmond Kickers in the USA - USL League 1 on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Northern Colorado vs Richmond Kickers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Northern Colorado win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Northern Colorado 54%, draw 22%, Richmond Kickers 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Northern Colorado), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Northern Colorado) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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