Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-2 Central Valley Fuego — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.9
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
2.89
Over 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.39
No
35%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
14%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
+1.6pp
20%
Draw
22%
-1.8pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.2pp
32%
Under 2.5
31%
+1.2pp
68%
Over 2.5
69%
-1.2pp
65%
BTTS Yes
68%
-2.5pp
35%
BTTS No
32%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Valley Fuego EU Bookmakers 33%
+7% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.68/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.27
+19% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
348 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 82%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
20.4 Crosses 13.5
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Central Valley Fuego
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.54 xG 1.34
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
275 Passes 302
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 4
14.04.2024 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego 2-4 HT 1-2 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
01.10.2023 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 3-1 HT 0-1 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego USL1
06.08.2023 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego 1-1 HT 1-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
02.04.2023 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 0-1 HT 0-0 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego USL1
04.08.2022 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego 0-1 HT 0-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
12.06.2022 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego 0-2 HT 0-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves
1-2
AWAY Central Valley Fuego
1.12 xG 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
23 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 9
289 Passes 337
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Central Valley Fuego
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Valley Fuego nicked a narrow win over Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Chattanooga Red Wolves at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (65%) came in.

On the day, Chattanooga Red Wolves had 46% of the ball to Central Valley Fuego's 54%, shots finished 23-15, expected goals 1.12 to 1.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chattanooga Red Wolves had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Chattanooga Red Wolves and 0.83 for Central Valley Fuego.

What was the final score of Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Central Valley Fuego?

Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-2 Central Valley Fuego in the USA - USL League 1 on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Central Valley Fuego?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chattanooga Red Wolves win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Chattanooga Red Wolves 50%, draw 20%, Central Valley Fuego 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chattanooga Red Wolves) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chattanooga Red Wolves) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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