Central Valley Fuego 2-4 Chattanooga Red Wolves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.3pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Valley Fuego EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves EU Bookmakers 45%
-25% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -5%
1.28/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.34
-34% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +28%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
303 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 81%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
19.0 Crosses 19.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central Valley Fuego
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.12 xG 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
286 Passes 296
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.10.2023 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 3-1 HT 0-1 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego USL1
06.08.2023 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego 1-1 HT 1-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
02.04.2023 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 0-1 HT 0-0 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego USL1
04.08.2022 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego 0-1 HT 0-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
12.06.2022 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego 0-2 HT 0-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
15.05.2022 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-2 HT 2-2 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Valley Fuego
2-4
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves
2.54 xG 1.71
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 3
373 Passes 211
81% Pass Accuracy 67%
35 Box Touches 18
33 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Central Valley Fuego vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chattanooga Red Wolves got the better of Central Valley Fuego 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chattanooga Red Wolves as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Central Valley Fuego had 60% of the ball to Chattanooga Red Wolves's 40%, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 2.54 to 1.71 — on chances, Central Valley Fuego could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chattanooga Red Wolves led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Central Valley Fuego and 1.50 for Chattanooga Red Wolves.

What was the final score of Central Valley Fuego vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Central Valley Fuego 2-4 Chattanooga Red Wolves in the USA - USL League 1 on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Valley Fuego vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chattanooga Red Wolves win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Central Valley Fuego 32%, draw 27%, Chattanooga Red Wolves 41%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chattanooga Red Wolves), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chattanooga Red Wolves) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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