Lexington 2-2 Spokane Velocity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-2.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.1pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lexington EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Spokane Velocity EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
1.38/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.98
-1% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 41.0
13.5 Crosses 38.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lexington
2-2
AWAY Spokane Velocity
1.00 xG 1.44
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 11
261 Passes 417
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
27 Box Touches 30
21 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lexington vs Spokane Velocity
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lexington and Spokane Velocity shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Lexington had 41% of the ball to Spokane Velocity's 59%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.00 to 1.44.

What was the final score of Lexington vs Spokane Velocity?

Lexington 2-2 Spokane Velocity in the USA - USL League 1 on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lexington vs Spokane Velocity?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lexington win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lexington 39%, draw 27%, Spokane Velocity 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lexington) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lexington) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USL1 More USA - USL League 1
14 Apr 2024
02:00 Forward Madison vs Richmond Kickers Analysis →
05:30 Central Valley Fuego vs Chattanooga Red Wolves Analysis →