Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-1 Portland Hearts of Pine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 8 Jun 2025

📅08/06/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
44%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-4.6pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.5pp
44%
Away Win
34%
+9.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Portland Hearts of Pine EU Bookmakers 38%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+15% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
305 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.8 Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves
2-1
AWAY Portland Hearts of Pine
1.38 xG 1.38
31% Ball Possession 69%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
139 Passes 387
64% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 12
12 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Portland Hearts of Pine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chattanooga Red Wolves edged past Portland Hearts of Pine 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Portland Hearts of Pine at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Chattanooga Red Wolves had 31% of the ball to Portland Hearts of Pine's 69%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 1.38 to 1.38.

What was the final score of Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Portland Hearts of Pine?

Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-1 Portland Hearts of Pine in the USA - USL League 1 on 08/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Portland Hearts of Pine?

Before kick-off our model rated an Portland Hearts of Pine win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Chattanooga Red Wolves 32%, draw 24%, Portland Hearts of Pine 44%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Portland Hearts of Pine) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portland Hearts of Pine) ✓ BTTS Yes
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