Alta 1-3 Union Omaha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.08
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
50%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
29%
-2.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
50%
Away Win
45%
+5.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.1pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alta EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 49%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
1.20/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.85
+13% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
15.9 Crosses 21.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alta
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Union Omaha
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.70 xG 2.34
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
473 Passes 296
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2025 Union Omaha Union Omaha 2-0 HT 1-0 Alta Alta USL1
06.07.2025 Alta Alta 2-1 HT 1-1 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alta
1-3
AWAY Union Omaha
2.39 xG 1.60
55% Ball Possession 45%
21 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
447 Passes 343
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 11
15 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Alta vs Union Omaha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Omaha beat Alta 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Union Omaha as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Alta had 55% of the ball to Union Omaha's 45%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 2.39 to 1.60 — the balance of chances actually favoured Alta.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alta and 1.50 for Union Omaha.

What was the final score of Alta vs Union Omaha?

Alta 1-3 Union Omaha in the USA - USL League 1 on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alta vs Union Omaha?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Alta 26%, draw 24%, Union Omaha 50%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Omaha), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Union Omaha) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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