Naples 2-1 Greenville Triumph — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 7 Sep 2025

📅07/09/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.0pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.6pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naples EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenville Triumph EU Bookmakers 38%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +4%
0.95/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.46
-3% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
19.4 Crosses 20.1
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naples
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Greenville Triumph
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.70 xG 1.15
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
221 Passes 365
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 37
8 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2025 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 2-1 HT 1-1 Naples USLKP
08.06.2025 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 1-1 HT 1-1 Naples USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naples
2-1
AWAY Greenville Triumph
1.05 xG 0.38
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
269 Passes 363
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Naples vs Greenville Triumph
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naples nicked a narrow win over Greenville Triumph 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Naples made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Naples had 44% of the ball to Greenville Triumph's 56%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.05 to 0.38.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Greenville Triumph led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Naples and 1.50 for Greenville Triumph.

What was the final score of Naples vs Greenville Triumph?

Naples 2-1 Greenville Triumph in the USA - USL League 1 on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naples vs Greenville Triumph?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naples win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Naples 38%, draw 27%, Greenville Triumph 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naples), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Naples) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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