Balkan 1-2 Nosaby IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 9 Sep 2024

📅09/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.1pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.6pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Balkan EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Nosaby IF EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -16%
1.83/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/2.05
-4% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
299 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Balkan
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Nosaby IF
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.05.2024 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF 1-2 HT 1-0 Balkan Balkan İSÇ4
06.10.2023 Balkan Balkan 3-3 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF İSÇ4
21.06.2023 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF 2-4 HT 1-0 Balkan Balkan İSÇ4
12.08.2022 Balkan Balkan 2-3 HT 1-2 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF İSÇ4
23.04.2022 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF 2-1 HT 0-0 Balkan Balkan İSÇ4
21.11.2021 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF 5-0 HT 3-0 Balkan Balkan İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Balkan
1-2
AWAY Nosaby IF
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Balkan vs Nosaby IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nosaby IF squeezed past Balkan 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Balkan at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Balkan had 64% of the ball to Nosaby IF's 36%, shots finished 16-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nosaby IF led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Balkan and 2.67 for Nosaby IF.

What was the final score of Balkan vs Nosaby IF?

Balkan 1-2 Nosaby IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 09/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Balkan vs Nosaby IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Balkan win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Balkan 44%, draw 29%, Nosaby IF 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Balkan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Balkan) ✓ BTTS Yes
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