CD Castellon 1-3 Cadiz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 9 Sep 2024

📅09/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.86
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.8
Over 2.5
40%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.82
No
58%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
3.12
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.75
6+ Goals
9%
15.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 36% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.49
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
11%
13.6
X/1
9%
4.24
X/2
10%
8.29
X/X
16%
4.51
2/1
5%
25.5
2/2
15%
6.42
2/X
5%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
50%
-13.1pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.6pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.8pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Castellon EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Cadiz EU Bookmakers 27%
-12% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.78/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.43
-93% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 73%
38.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
22.4 Crosses 20.8
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Castellon
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Cadiz
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
04.04.2010 Cadiz Cadiz 1-0 HT 1-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
31.10.2009 CD Castellon CD Castellon 4-1 HT 1-1 Cadiz Cadiz İS2
02.03.2008 Cadiz Cadiz 1-1 HT 1-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
29.09.2007 CD Castellon CD Castellon 2-0 HT 1-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS2
03.03.2007 CD Castellon CD Castellon 2-0 HT 1-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS2
30.09.2006 Cadiz Cadiz 0-2 HT 0-2 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Castellon
1-3
AWAY Cadiz
1.45 xG 1.65
69% Ball Possession 31%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
406 Passes 115
85% Pass Accuracy 56%
25 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CD Castellon vs Cadiz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cadiz got the better of CD Castellon 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 32% / 31%) promised a tight game; Cadiz found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CD Castellon had 69% of the ball to Cadiz's 31%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.45 to 1.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Castellon had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for CD Castellon and 0.50 for Cadiz.

What was the final score of CD Castellon vs Cadiz?

CD Castellon 1-3 Cadiz in the Spain - 2nd Division on 09/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Castellon vs Cadiz?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Castellon win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split CD Castellon 37%, draw 32%, Cadiz 31%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CD Castellon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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