Albacete 0-1 Eibar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 9 Sep 2024

Albacete
0-1 HT 0-1
Eibar
📅09/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Albacete vs Eibar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.06
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.82
6+ Goals
9%
16.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.43
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
12.8
X/1
16%
5.17
X/2
12%
6.01
X/X
10%
4.28
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
13%
4.24
2/X
8%
13.0
Value flag · 1/X at 12.8 — our 11% vs market 4.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-0.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Albacete v Eibar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albacete EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Eibar EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.45/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.37
-10% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -20%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
264 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
21.0 Crosses 19.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8

Albacete vs Eibar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albacete
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Eibar
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.28 xG 1.40
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
208 Passes 428
67% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
28.04.2024 Albacete Albacete 2-1 HT 1-1 Eibar Eibar İS2
12.11.2023 Eibar Eibar 1-1 HT 1-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
14.04.2023 Albacete Albacete 3-1 HT 2-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
23.10.2022 Eibar Eibar 1-1 HT 1-1 Albacete Albacete İS2
07.03.2009 Albacete Albacete 2-0 HT 1-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
04.10.2008 Eibar Eibar 1-1 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İS2

Albacete 0-1 Eibar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albacete
0-1
AWAY Eibar
1.21 xG 0.80
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
339 Passes 376
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Albacete vs Eibar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eibar squeezed past Albacete 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Eibar made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Albacete had 48% of the ball to Eibar's 52%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.21 to 0.80 — the balance of chances actually favoured Albacete.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Albacete had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Albacete and 0.83 for Eibar.

What was the final score of Albacete vs Eibar?

Albacete 0-1 Eibar in the Spain - 2nd Division on 09/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albacete vs Eibar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Albacete win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Albacete 40%, draw 29%, Eibar 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Albacete) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Albacete) ✓ Under 2.5
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