Deportivo Moron 2-1 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 9 Sep 2024

📅09/09/2024 · 🕒01:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
33%
2.7
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
1.25
Over 2.5
26%
3.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.75
No
68%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
49%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+3.9pp
33%
Draw
34%
-0.9pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-3.0pp
74%
Under 2.5
76%
-2.4pp
26%
Over 2.5
24%
+2.4pp
32%
BTTS Yes
32%
-0.2pp
68%
BTTS No
68%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Moron EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes Rio Cuarto EU Bookmakers 36%
+10% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.18/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/0.79
+13% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +31%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Moron
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
22.04.2024 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
12.09.2023 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
30.04.2023 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 2-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto ARJPBN
29.07.2022 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 2-2 HT 1-1 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto ARJPBN
01.12.2020 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
01.12.2019 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 1-3 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Deportivo Moron vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Moron squeezed past Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 33% / 29% — and on the day Deportivo Moron made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (74%), no to both teams scoring (68%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estudiantes Rio Cuarto led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Moron and 1.50 for Estudiantes Rio Cuarto.

What was the final score of Deportivo Moron vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto?

Deportivo Moron 2-1 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 09/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Moron vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Moron win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Moron 38%, draw 33%, Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Moron) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Moron) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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