Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2-0 Deportivo Moron — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 22 Apr 2024

📅22/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.38
Over 2.5
30%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.4
No
65%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.4pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.4pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.9pp
70%
Under 2.5
69%
+0.9pp
30%
Over 2.5
31%
-0.9pp
35%
BTTS Yes
38%
-2.4pp
65%
BTTS No
62%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes Rio Cuarto EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Moron EU Bookmakers 29%
+8% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.19/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.12
-8% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
318 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Moron
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
12.09.2023 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
30.04.2023 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 2-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto ARJPBN
29.07.2022 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 2-2 HT 1-1 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto ARJPBN
01.12.2020 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
01.12.2019 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 1-3 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Deportivo Moron
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto got the better of Deportivo Moron 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Estudiantes Rio Cuarto found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Estudiantes Rio Cuarto had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Estudiantes Rio Cuarto and 1.20 for Deportivo Moron.

What was the final score of Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Deportivo Moron?

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2-0 Deportivo Moron in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Deportivo Moron?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes Rio Cuarto win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 39%, draw 30%, Deportivo Moron 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes Rio Cuarto), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Estudiantes Rio Cuarto) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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