Atletico Rafaela 1-2 San Telmo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 22 Apr 2024

📅22/04/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.09
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
44%
-12.1pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.5pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+7.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.7pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Rafaela EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY San Telmo EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -14%
1.31/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.81
+2% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -36%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
302 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Rafaela
1W-2D-0L
AWAY San Telmo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.09.2022 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 2-1 HT 2-0 San Telmo San Telmo ARJPBN
06.08.2021 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela 2-2 HT 2-1 San Telmo San Telmo ARJPBN
28.03.2021 San Telmo San Telmo 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Rafaela Atletico Rafaela ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Atletico Rafaela vs San Telmo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Telmo edged past Atletico Rafaela 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 33% / 35% — and on the day San Telmo made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Atletico Rafaela had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atletico Rafaela and 1.00 for San Telmo.

What was the final score of Atletico Rafaela vs San Telmo?

Atletico Rafaela 1-2 San Telmo in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Rafaela vs San Telmo?

Before kick-off our model rated an San Telmo win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Atletico Rafaela 32%, draw 33%, San Telmo 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Telmo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (San Telmo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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