Almirante Brown 1-2 Brown De Adrogue — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 22 Apr 2024

📅22/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
1.38
Over 2.5
27%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
30%
2.33
No
70%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.5pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.9pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.4pp
73%
Under 2.5
69%
+4.2pp
27%
Over 2.5
31%
-4.2pp
30%
BTTS Yes
39%
-8.5pp
70%
BTTS No
61%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almirante Brown EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Brown De Adrogue EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -7%
1.02/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.07
-21% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
322 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almirante Brown
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Brown De Adrogue
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
08.10.2022 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue 0-0 HT 0-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
12.09.2015 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue 3-1 HT 1-1 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBM
26.04.2015 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 2-1 HT 1-0 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue ARJPBM
09.11.2014 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue 1-2 HT 0-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBM
POST-MATCH Almirante Brown vs Brown De Adrogue
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brown De Adrogue squeezed past Almirante Brown 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Almirante Brown at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (73%), no to both teams scoring (70%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Almirante Brown had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Almirante Brown and 1.25 for Brown De Adrogue.

What was the final score of Almirante Brown vs Brown De Adrogue?

Almirante Brown 1-2 Brown De Adrogue in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almirante Brown vs Brown De Adrogue?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almirante Brown win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Almirante Brown 43%, draw 31%, Brown De Adrogue 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Almirante Brown) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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