Vukovar 2-0 HNK Cibalia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 9 Sep 2024

📅09/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-8.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+7.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vukovar EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY HNK Cibalia EU Bookmakers 20%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.70/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.48
-1% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
521 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vukovar
2W-0D-0L
AWAY HNK Cibalia
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.06.2024 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 1-5 HT 0-1 Vukovar Vukovar HIR2
17.11.2023 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 0-1 HT 0-0 Vukovar Vukovar HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vukovar
2-0
AWAY HNK Cibalia
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Vukovar vs HNK Cibalia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vukovar got the better of HNK Cibalia 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vukovar as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Vukovar had 55% of the ball to HNK Cibalia's 45%, shots finished 15-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Vukovar had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Vukovar and 0.50 for HNK Cibalia.

What was the final score of Vukovar vs HNK Cibalia?

Vukovar 2-0 HNK Cibalia in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 09/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vukovar vs HNK Cibalia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vukovar win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Vukovar 52%, draw 24%, HNK Cibalia 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vukovar) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vukovar)
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