Torpedo Moscow vs Arsenal Tula — Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds

Torpedo Moscow
2-2 HT 2-2
Arsenal Tula
📅09/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Russia - FNL – 2024/2025
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.31
Draw
35%
2.38
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.18
Over 2.5
29%
2.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.08
No
61%
1.34
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
15%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.7pp
35%
Draw
33%
+2.5pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.1pp
71%
Under 2.5
70%
+1.2pp
29%
Over 2.5
30%
-1.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.7pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torpedo Moscow EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Tula EU Bookmakers 34%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +21%
1.01/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/0.55
-3% / +107% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +96%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.0
– Crosses 6.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torpedo Moscow
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Arsenal Tula
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
279 Passes 209
71% Pass Accuracy 64%
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.04.2024 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 1-1 HT 1-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
28.08.2023 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 1-1 HT 1-0 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
05.04.2015 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 1-3 HT 0-1 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS
03.11.2014 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 0-1 HT 0-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS
Actual Match Statistics
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torpedo Moscow
2-2
AWAY Arsenal Tula
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Torpedo Moscow vs Arsenal Tula
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Torpedo Moscow and Arsenal Tula shared the points in a 2-2 draw in the Russia - FNL on 9 Sep 2024.

It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 71% and both teams scoring was against the odds at 39%.

On the day, Torpedo Moscow had 55% of the ball to Arsenal Tula's 45%, shots finished 8-6.

Across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours are even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Torpedo Moscow and 1.00 for Arsenal Tula.

What was the final score of Torpedo Moscow vs Arsenal Tula?

Torpedo Moscow 2-2 Arsenal Tula in the Russia - FNL on 09/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torpedo Moscow vs Arsenal Tula?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Torpedo Moscow 34%, draw 35%, Arsenal Tula 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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