Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
1-1
HT 1-0
Torpedo Moscow
RUS1
1-3
HT 0-1
Torpedo Moscow
RUS
0-1
HT 0-0
Arsenal Tula
RUS
Torpedo Moscow and Arsenal Tula shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Russia - FNL on 20 Apr 2024. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 45% and both teams to score was close to even at 42%.
On the day, Torpedo Moscow had 49% of the ball to Arsenal Tula's 51%, shots finished 9-14.
Across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours are even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Torpedo Moscow and 1.00 for Arsenal Tula.
What was the final score of Torpedo Moscow vs Arsenal Tula?
Torpedo Moscow 1-1 Arsenal Tula in the Russia - FNL on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Torpedo Moscow vs Arsenal Tula?
Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal Tula win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Torpedo Moscow 31%, draw 30%, Arsenal Tula 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arsenal Tula), BTTS No went the other way.