Mansfield Town 0-1 Harrogate Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 9 Sep 2025

📅09/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.21
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.26
6+ Goals
11%
12.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-7.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.4pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mansfield Town EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Harrogate Town EU Bookmakers 25%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
1.28/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.53
-15% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
327 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 69%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
20.4 Crosses 15.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mansfield Town
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Harrogate Town
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.20 xG 1.40
54% Ball Possession 46%
21 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
330 Passes 265
71% Pass Accuracy 69%
34 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.02.2024 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 9-2 HT 5-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
24.10.2023 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 1-4 HT 0-3 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
29.04.2023 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 1-2 HT 0-2 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
19.11.2022 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 3-0 HT 3-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
01.02.2022 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
04.09.2021 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 1-3 HT 1-2 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mansfield Town
0-1
AWAY Harrogate Town
1.52 xG 1.35
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
313 Passes 261
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
37 Box Touches 8
33 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mansfield Town vs Harrogate Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harrogate Town nicked a narrow win over Mansfield Town 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Mansfield Town at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mansfield Town had 56% of the ball to Harrogate Town's 44%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 1.52 to 1.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Harrogate Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Mansfield Town and 1.83 for Harrogate Town.

What was the final score of Mansfield Town vs Harrogate Town?

Mansfield Town 0-1 Harrogate Town in the England - Futbol League Cup on 09/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mansfield Town vs Harrogate Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mansfield Town win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mansfield Town 46%, draw 26%, Harrogate Town 27%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mansfield Town) ✗ BTTS Yes
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