Mansfield Town 9-2 Harrogate Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 13 Feb 2024

Mansfield Town
9-2 HT 5-0
Harrogate Town
📅13/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Mansfield Town vs Harrogate Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.83
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.14
6+ Goals
11%
10.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1.92
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
9%
16.05
X/1
24%
3.71
X/2 EV+ ✗
13%
11.15
X/X
9%
5.75
2/1
6%
21.6
2/2
9%
8.6
2/X
6%
16.8
Value flag · X/2 at 11.15 — our 13% vs market 5.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-11.7pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.4pp
27%
Away Win
17%
+9.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.0pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mansfield Town v Harrogate Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mansfield Town EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Harrogate Town EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +35%
1.81/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.46
-11% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
326 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 74%
32.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
27.0 Crosses 12.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6

Mansfield Town vs Harrogate Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mansfield Town
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Harrogate Town
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.02 xG 1.60
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
289 Passes 250
68% Pass Accuracy 67%
30 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.10.2023 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 1-4 HT 0-3 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
29.04.2023 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 1-2 HT 0-2 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
19.11.2022 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 3-0 HT 3-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
01.02.2022 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
04.09.2021 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 1-3 HT 1-2 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
31.08.2021 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 3-1 HT 1-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İNTK

Mansfield Town 9-2 Harrogate Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mansfield Town
9-2
AWAY Harrogate Town
2.96 xG 1.57
57% Ball Possession 43%
23 Total Shots 7
13 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
516 Passes 366
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
51 Box Touches 12
15 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mansfield Town vs Harrogate Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mansfield Town cruised past Harrogate Town 9-2. Half-time: 5-0. 11 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mansfield Town as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 9-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Mansfield Town had 57% of the ball to Harrogate Town's 43%, shots finished 23-7, expected goals 2.96 to 1.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Harrogate Town led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mansfield Town and 2.00 for Harrogate Town.

What was the final score of Mansfield Town vs Harrogate Town?

Mansfield Town 9-2 Harrogate Town in the England - 2nd Division on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mansfield Town vs Harrogate Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mansfield Town win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Mansfield Town 49%, draw 24%, Harrogate Town 27%. The final score 9-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mansfield Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mansfield Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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