Salford City 2-2 Doncaster Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 13 Feb 2024

📅13/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
33%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.6
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.27
6+ Goals
10%
11.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.6 — our 26% vs market 22.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.42
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
13%
4.24
X/2
15%
8.02
X/X
12%
5.02
2/1
7%
22.9
2/2
12%
5.89
2/X
6%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
-8.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+8.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.5pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salford City EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 28%
-1% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -12%
1.38/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.26
-8% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -28%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
306 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 67%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
20.1 Crosses 16.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salford City
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.70 xG 1.19
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
385 Passes 262
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 0
24.10.2023 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 0-3 HT 0-2 Salford City Salford City İN2
18.03.2023 Salford City Salford City 3-1 HT 2-1 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
20.08.2022 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 2-1 HT 1-1 Salford City Salford City İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salford City
2-2
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
1.24 xG 0.64
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
158 Passes 146
52% Pass Accuracy 49%
25 Box Touches 6
21 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Salford City vs Doncaster Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salford City and Doncaster Rovers shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Salford City at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Salford City had 51% of the ball to Doncaster Rovers's 49%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.24 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Salford City had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Salford City and 1.00 for Doncaster Rovers.

What was the final score of Salford City vs Doncaster Rovers?

Salford City 2-2 Doncaster Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salford City vs Doncaster Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salford City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Salford City 42%, draw 25%, Doncaster Rovers 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Salford City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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