Sutton United 1-2 Wrexham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 13 Feb 2024

Sutton United
1-2 HT 0-1
Wrexham
📅13/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Sutton United vs Wrexham Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.54
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.31
6+ Goals
9%
12.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.54 — our 29% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.23
1/2
8%
23.75
1/X
6%
13.5
X/1
11%
7.27
X/2
15%
4.48
X/X
10%
4.82
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
18%
2.65
2/X
8%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
29%
+6.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-4.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.9pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sutton United v Wrexham — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sutton United EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Wrexham EU Bookmakers 49%
-12% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.06/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.54
-16% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
275 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 74%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
18.8 Crosses 20.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3

Sutton United vs Wrexham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sutton United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Wrexham
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.31 xG 1.04
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
156 Passes 464
58% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 31
8 Crosses 31
0 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.10.2023 Wrexham Wrexham 2-1 HT 1-0 Sutton United Sutton United İN2
06.03.2021 Sutton United Sutton United 0-0 HT 0-0 Wrexham Wrexham İBSL
24.11.2020 Wrexham Wrexham 4-0 HT 2-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
21.12.2019 Sutton United Sutton United 3-1 HT 2-0 Wrexham Wrexham İBSL
14.09.2019 Wrexham Wrexham 1-1 HT 0-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
19.04.2019 Wrexham Wrexham 1-0 HT 0-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL

Sutton United 1-2 Wrexham — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sutton United
1-2
AWAY Wrexham
0.76 xG 1.44
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 2
211 Passes 184
63% Pass Accuracy 57%
23 Box Touches 17
35 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sutton United vs Wrexham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wrexham nicked a narrow win over Sutton United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Wrexham made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sutton United had 53% of the ball to Wrexham's 47%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.76 to 1.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wrexham led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sutton United and 1.50 for Wrexham.

What was the final score of Sutton United vs Wrexham?

Sutton United 1-2 Wrexham in the England - 2nd Division on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sutton United vs Wrexham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wrexham win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sutton United 35%, draw 25%, Wrexham 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wrexham) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wrexham) ✗ Under 2.5
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