Bradford City 4-0 Milton Keynes Dons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 13 Feb 2024

Bradford City
4-0 HT 2-0
Milton Keynes Dons
📅13/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Bradford City vs Milton Keynes Dons Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.97
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.84
6+ Goals
10%
17.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 29% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.22
1/2
9%
33.5
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
16%
4.82
X/2
10%
6.02
X/X
10%
4.35
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
11%
4.4
2/X
9%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bradford City v Milton Keynes Dons — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bradford City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Milton Keynes Dons EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -9%
1.33/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.34
-2% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
294 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 69%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
21.1 Crosses 19.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Bradford City vs Milton Keynes Dons Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bradford City
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Milton Keynes Dons
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.43 xG 1.99
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
335 Passes 489
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
24.10.2023 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 4-1 HT 2-1 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
24.04.2018 Bradford City Bradford City 2-0 HT 1-0 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İN1
07.10.2017 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 1-4 HT 1-2 Bradford City Bradford City İN1
28.02.2017 Bradford City Bradford City 2-2 HT 2-2 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İN1
16.08.2016 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 1-2 HT 0-2 Bradford City Bradford City İN1
09.02.2015 Bradford City Bradford City 2-1 HT 0-0 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İN1

Bradford City 4-0 Milton Keynes Dons — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bradford City
4-0
AWAY Milton Keynes Dons
2.05 xG 1.50
28% Ball Possession 72%
11 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
169 Passes 607
62% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 17
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bradford City vs Milton Keynes Dons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bradford City ran out comfortable winners over Milton Keynes Dons 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bradford City as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bradford City had 28% of the ball to Milton Keynes Dons's 72%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 2.05 to 1.50.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bradford City had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Bradford City and 1.50 for Milton Keynes Dons.

What was the final score of Bradford City vs Milton Keynes Dons?

Bradford City 4-0 Milton Keynes Dons in the England - 2nd Division on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bradford City vs Milton Keynes Dons?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bradford City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bradford City 43%, draw 26%, Milton Keynes Dons 31%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bradford City), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bradford City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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