Accrington Stanley 2-0 AFC Wimbledon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 13 Feb 2024

Accrington Stanley
2-0 HT 0-0
AFC Wimbledon
📅13/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Accrington Stanley vs AFC Wimbledon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.1
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.69
6+ Goals
10%
15.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 29% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.09
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
8%
13.35
X/1
12%
5.77
X/2
7%
5.02
X/X
10%
4.47
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
23%
3.36
2/X
9%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Accrington Stanley v AFC Wimbledon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Accrington Stanley EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Wimbledon EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -10%
1.03/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.10
-3% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +12%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
225 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 71%
13.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.3
23.0 Crosses 23.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5

Accrington Stanley vs AFC Wimbledon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Accrington Stanley
4W-0D-2L
AWAY AFC Wimbledon
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.48 xG 1.44
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
224 Passes 220
65% Pass Accuracy 63%
17 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.10.2023 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 2-4 HT 0-2 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN2
30.04.2022 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 3-4 HT 0-3 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN1
07.12.2021 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 0-2 HT 0-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN1
10.04.2021 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 1-5 HT 1-3 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN1
03.10.2020 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 1-2 HT 1-2 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN1
01.02.2020 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 2-1 HT 2-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN1

Accrington Stanley 2-0 AFC Wimbledon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Accrington Stanley
2-0
AWAY AFC Wimbledon
0.43 xG 1.22
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
213 Passes 153
64% Pass Accuracy 52%
16 Box Touches 33
16 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Accrington Stanley vs AFC Wimbledon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Accrington Stanley saw off AFC Wimbledon 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Accrington Stanley made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Accrington Stanley had 53% of the ball to AFC Wimbledon's 47%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 0.43 to 1.22 — the balance of chances actually favoured AFC Wimbledon.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Accrington Stanley had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Accrington Stanley and 2.33 for AFC Wimbledon.

What was the final score of Accrington Stanley vs AFC Wimbledon?

Accrington Stanley 2-0 AFC Wimbledon in the England - 2nd Division on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Accrington Stanley vs AFC Wimbledon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Accrington Stanley win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Accrington Stanley 36%, draw 27%, AFC Wimbledon 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/27/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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